Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.006966 0.007785 0.008679 0.009728 0.010930 0.012268 0.013876
2025-05-25 0.005703 0.006824 0.008149 0.009843 0.011969 0.014568 0.018024
2025-06-01 0.004922 0.006154 0.007690 0.009767 0.012540 0.016162 0.021336
2025-06-08 0.004264 0.005513 0.007135 0.009427 0.012639 0.017065 0.023773
2025-06-15 0.003882 0.005170 0.006901 0.009447 0.013176 0.018569 0.027211
2025-06-22 0.003679 0.005035 0.006920 0.009797 0.014194 0.020860 0.032144
2025-06-29 0.003351 0.004687 0.006595 0.009596 0.014344 0.021833 0.035108
2025-07-06 0.003070 0.004378 0.006293 0.009387 0.014442 0.022709 0.038010
2025-07-13 0.002877 0.004181 0.006134 0.009378 0.014845 0.024116 0.042043
2025-07-20 0.002766 0.004098 0.006140 0.009624 0.015690 0.026372 0.048005
2025-07-27 0.002595 0.003905 0.005955 0.009533 0.015937 0.027585 0.052135
2025-08-03 0.002465 0.003768 0.005846 0.009558 0.016384 0.029211 0.057373
2025-08-10 0.002311 0.003587 0.005660 0.009448 0.016608 0.030507 0.062316
2025-08-17 0.002208 0.003483 0.005597 0.009555 0.017259 0.032761 0.069907
2025-08-24 0.002085 0.003335 0.005446 0.009481 0.017546 0.034301 0.076156
2025-08-31 0.001933 0.003128 0.005173 0.009153 0.017280 0.034619 0.079474
2025-09-07 0.001848 0.003029 0.005087 0.009172 0.017729 0.036570 0.087404
2025-09-14 0.001815 0.003020 0.005161 0.009510 0.018894 0.040329 0.101118
2025-09-21 0.001712 0.002878 0.004978 0.009316 0.018870 0.041281 0.107165
2025-09-28 0.001616 0.002744 0.004800 0.009114 0.018808 0.042128 0.113122
2025-10-05 0.001551 0.002663 0.004718 0.009105 0.019185 0.044135 0.123186
2025-10-12 0.001520 0.002642 0.004750 0.009343 0.020170 0.047885 0.139958
2025-10-19 0.001454 0.002551 0.004638 0.009255 0.020360 0.049536 0.150151